L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 22:41 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 16–6 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 55.95%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.966%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%56.17%55.92%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.671.681.7764.52%59.87%59.52%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.05%2.27cote équitable
EV +4.84%
Avantage +2.03%
Kelly +3.50%
Croissance +0.169%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%43.83%44.08%45.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3848.78%45.49%45.45%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.16%E -7.74%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.84%E +2.03%K +3.50%G +0.169%5.7%2026-05-18 22:40
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.16%E -7.74%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.84%E +2.03%K +3.50%G +0.169%5.7%2026-05-18 22:40
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.16%E -7.74%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.84%E +2.03%K +3.50%G +0.169%5.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -12.72%E -8.15%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV +2.63%E +1.13%K +1.98%G +0.052%7.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -9.92%E -6.16%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +2.19%E +0.945%K +1.66%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -9.92%E -6.16%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +2.19%E +0.945%K +1.66%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -9.92%E -6.16%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +2.19%E +0.945%K +1.66%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -9.92%E -6.16%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +2.19%E +0.945%K +1.66%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-18 22:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.31%E +0.571%K +1.01%G +0.013%5.2%2026-05-18 14:01
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -13.28%E -8.56%K -24.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +1.31%E +0.571%K +1.01%G +0.013%8.0%2026-05-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.431%E +0.189%K +0.337%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.431%E +0.189%K +0.337%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.431%E +0.189%K +0.337%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.431%E +0.189%K +0.337%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.890%E -0.396%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 22:25
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.68%E -4.65%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.890%E -0.396%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:25
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.16%E -7.74%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.890%E -0.396%K -0.712%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.72%E -8.15%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -1.77%E -0.794%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 22:40
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.21%E -0.996%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 22:30
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.966%E -0.546%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:30
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:30
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 15:24
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 22:39
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:39
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.68%E -4.65%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 22:35
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 22:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.966%E -0.546%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-18 22:10
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 22:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.97%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 22:29
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.97%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:20
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 22:29
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.85%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 22:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 22:24
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.20%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.20%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:10
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 21:20
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.80%E -5.40%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 22:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.74%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 22:35
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:10
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -7.06%E -3.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.68%E -4.65%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.94%E -3.80%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 22:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.24%E -5.02%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-18 22:25
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-05-18 22:35
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-05-18 22:39
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-05-18 22:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.57%12.8%2026-05-18 22:40