La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-05-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 16–6 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 55.95%1.79momio equitativo
EV -0.966%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%56.17%55.92%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.681.7764.52%59.87%59.52%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 44.05%2.27momio equitativo
EV +4.84%
Ventaja +2.03%
Kelly +3.50%
Crecimiento +0.169%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%43.83%44.08%45.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3848.78%45.49%45.45%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.16%E -7.74%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.84%E +2.03%K +3.50%G +0.169%5.7%2026-05-18 22:40
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.16%E -7.74%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.84%E +2.03%K +3.50%G +0.169%5.7%2026-05-18 22:40
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.16%E -7.74%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.84%E +2.03%K +3.50%G +0.169%5.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -12.72%E -8.15%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV +2.63%E +1.13%K +1.98%G +0.052%7.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -9.92%E -6.16%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +2.19%E +0.945%K +1.66%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -9.92%E -6.16%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +2.19%E +0.945%K +1.66%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -9.92%E -6.16%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +2.19%E +0.945%K +1.66%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -9.92%E -6.16%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +2.19%E +0.945%K +1.66%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-18 22:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.31%E +0.571%K +1.01%G +0.013%5.2%2026-05-18 14:01
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -13.28%E -8.56%K -24.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +1.31%E +0.571%K +1.01%G +0.013%8.0%2026-05-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.431%E +0.189%K +0.337%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.431%E +0.189%K +0.337%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.431%E +0.189%K +0.337%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.431%E +0.189%K +0.337%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.890%E -0.396%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 22:25
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.68%E -4.65%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.890%E -0.396%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:25
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.16%E -7.74%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.890%E -0.396%K -0.712%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.72%E -8.15%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -1.77%E -0.794%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 22:40
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.21%E -0.996%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 22:30
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.966%E -0.546%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:30
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:30
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 15:24
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 22:39
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:39
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.68%E -4.65%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 22:35
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 22:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.966%E -0.546%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-18 22:10
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.53%E -0.867%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 22:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.97%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 22:29
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.97%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:20
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 22:29
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.85%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 22:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 22:24
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.20%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.20%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:10
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 21:20
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.80%E -5.40%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 22:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.74%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 22:35
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:10
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -7.06%E -3.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:40
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.68%E -4.65%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 22:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.94%E -3.80%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 22:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.24%E -5.02%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-18 22:25
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-05-18 22:35
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-05-18 22:39
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-05-18 22:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-05-18 22:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.57%12.8%2026-05-18 22:40