Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-09-17 17:10 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 10–1 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 70.29%1.42fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.35%70.18%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.57%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 29.71%3.37fair odd
EV -0.471%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.200%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.65%29.82%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.183.203.3533.90%31.49%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 70.29%; Athletics (Visit): 29.71%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.471%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -2.85%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-17 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.30%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-17 17:09
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -1.36%E -0.410%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-17 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -1.36%E -0.410%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-17 16:30
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-17 14:41
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -4.63%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-17 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 14:35
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 17:05
Everygame🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 15:13
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 16:54
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:04
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -9.68%E -3.18%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -3.74%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 05:25
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -4.04%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-17 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:20
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.52%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 16:24
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.71%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 17:00
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.63%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 16:50
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 17:05
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 16:20
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 17:04
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 17:06
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 17:04
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.93%3.44I 29.07%NM 29.07%-0.0%2026-09-17 15:35
ProphetX◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-17 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-17 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-17 16:50
BetOpenly◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.32%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.68%0.9%2026-09-17 17:09
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-09-17 16:55
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-16 22:00
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-17 17:05
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-09-17 17:00