Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-09-16 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 4–3 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 61.78%1.62fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.37%61.45%61.67%62.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.541.541.6068.49%65.02%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 38.22%2.62fair odd
EV +0.126%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.078%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.16%38.55%38.33%40.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.502.6244.44%40.42%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 61.78%; Athletics (Visit): 38.22%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.617. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.620, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.126%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.126%E +0.048%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-16 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.638%E -0.246%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-16 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.638%E -0.246%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-16 21:35
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.02%E -0.394%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-16 22:35
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-16 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.78%E -0.694%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-16 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.78%E -0.694%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 19:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.17%E -0.846%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-16 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.55%E -1.000%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.55%E -1.000%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 20:00
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.000%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 21:35
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.70%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.70%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.08%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 14:30
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 21:20
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 21:20
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 21:20
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 03:35
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 14:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 21:35
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 22:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 19:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 19:35
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.22%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 21:20
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.22%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 03:35
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 14:30
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 21:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 22:40
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 22:40
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.15%E -0.716%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 21:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 22:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.19%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.19%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-16 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -9.80%E -6.71%K -21.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.19%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.10%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.10%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.10%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -14.01%E -6.23%K -11.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-09-16 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-09-16 22:30
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-16 14:30
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-09-16 22:40
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-09-16 22:40
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-09-16 22:10
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%2.9%2026-09-16 22:39
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.74%9.6%2026-09-16 22:40