Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 17:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 5–1 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 63.64%1.57fair odd
EV -0.723%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.64%63.70%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5670.42%67.26%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 36.36%2.75fair odd
EV +4.72%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +2.51%
Growth +0.118%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%36.36%36.30%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.652.652.8840.32%37.73%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 63.64%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 36.36%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -9.00%E -6.29%K -20.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +4.72%E +1.64%K +2.51%G +0.118%4.7%2026-06-28 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -9.00%E -6.29%K -20.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.63%E +1.27%K +1.96%G +0.071%5.0%2026-06-28 17:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%2.4%2026-06-28 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%2.4%2026-06-28 17:19
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%2.4%2026-06-28 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%5.2%2026-06-28 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%5.2%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%5.2%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%5.2%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%5.2%2026-06-28 17:39
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%5.2%2026-06-28 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.00%E -6.29%K -20.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.81%E +0.647%K +1.01%G +0.018%5.6%2026-06-28 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.63%E -6.78%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.008%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.83%E -0.676%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 17:29
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.18%E -3.47%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.83%E -0.676%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:17
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.27%E -2.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.19%E -0.814%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.00%E -1.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.55%E -0.953%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 17:30
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.55%E -0.953%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-28 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.55%E -0.953%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.18%E -3.47%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.81%E -3.93%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.00%E -1.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-28 14:20
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.90%E -2.59%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.90%E -2.59%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 15:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 15:59
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 17:40
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.723%E -0.463%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -4.01%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 16:49
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 15:29
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.27%E -2.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 07:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:40
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:49
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:29
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 13:29
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:29
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 12:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.83%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.83%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.90%E -2.59%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.55%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 07:49
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.90%E -2.59%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.55%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:39
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.54%E -3.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.18%E -3.47%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 17:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.18%E -3.47%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.81%E -3.93%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.72%E -5.33%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-28 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.00%E -6.29%K -20.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.00%E -6.29%K -20.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.81%E -3.93%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.83%E -3.96%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 17:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.45%2.81I 35.59%NM 35.55%0.1%2026-06-28 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-28 17:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-28 17:39
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-06-28 15:29
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-28 17:40
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-06-28 17:40
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%3.1%2026-06-28 17:40