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St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals

2026-09-20 18:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 57.14%1.75fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.47%57.20%57.14%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.661.7263.29%60.11%60.24%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 42.86%2.33fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%42.80%42.86%43.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.242.3048.78%44.93%44.74%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 57.14%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 42.86%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -1.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.72%E -1.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-19 18:07
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.42%E -0.616%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 19:24
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 19:44
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 17:59
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 18:29
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:29
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:24
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.42%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.85%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 19:44
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.27%E -0.997%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 17:54
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.99%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.85%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:54
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.85%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 19:44
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:09
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 19:50
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 19:43
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.72%E -3.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.29%E -3.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 19:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.72%E -6.15%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-19 19:00
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-09-19 19:54
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-09-19 19:55
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%10.1%2026-09-19 19:44