Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 5–7 Washington Nationals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 50.20%1.99fair odd
EV -0.108%
Edge -0.054%
Kelly -0.109%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.23%50.29%50.00%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.901.9956.18%52.89%52.63%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 49.80%2.01fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.958%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%49.71%50.00%50.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.921.9754.64%52.06%52.08%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 50.20%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 49.80%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.992. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.990, with an expected value of -0.108%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.108%E -0.054%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.610%E -0.308%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.610%E -0.308%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 21:54
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.610%E -0.308%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 21:54
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.610%E -0.308%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 21:54
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.11%E -0.564%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 20:58
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.11%E -0.564%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 23:14
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 20:04
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 20:54
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.62%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 22:45
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 17:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 21:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 23:14
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:42
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:44
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 15:43
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 21:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.87%E -3.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 20:53
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.87%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 21:20
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 21:20
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 23:14
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 23:14
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 20:04
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 23:08
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 23:08
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.13%E -2.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.13%E -2.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.13%E -2.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 21:20
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.63%E -2.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 22:24
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.63%E -2.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.88%E -2.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.87%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.63%E -3.57%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 20:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.63%E -3.57%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.89%E -0.958%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 22:19
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.89%E -0.958%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.89%E -0.958%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.89%E -0.958%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 22:19
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 22:20
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 22:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 22:20
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 22:19
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 22:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.38%E -1.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.38%E -1.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -9.65%E -5.36%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -1.89%E -0.958%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 20:49
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -10.15%E -5.67%K -12.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -5.87%E -3.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.98%K -13.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-09-19 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-09-19 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-09-19 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-09-19 23:14
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%0.8%2026-09-19 23:14
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-19 21:00
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-19 23:08
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-19 22:24
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-09-19 22:24
BetOpenly◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%2.0%2026-09-19 23:00