Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-06-17 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 1–6 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 53.80%1.86odd justa
EV -0.464%
Vantagem -0.251%
Kelly -0.546%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%53.86%53.85%55.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.58%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 46.20%2.16odd justa
EV +0.247%
Vantagem +0.114%
Kelly +0.211%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.64%46.14%46.15%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.992.082.082.1750.25%48.03%48.19%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 53.80%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 46.20%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.16. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.17, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.247%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.2%2026-06-17 17:30
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.677%E -0.315%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-17 17:19
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:29
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.752%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 17:10
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.752%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-17 15:18
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 14:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.464%E -0.251%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:48
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 18:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:40
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:50
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.76%E -2.82%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.22%E -3.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.22%E -3.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.07%E -4.05%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-06-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-17 18:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 18:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 18:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-17 18:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-17 18:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-06-17 18:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-17 18:10