La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-06-17 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 1–6 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 53.80%1.86momio equitativo
EV -0.464%
Ventaja -0.251%
Kelly -0.546%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.86%53.85%55.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.58%56.50%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 46.20%2.16momio equitativo
EV +0.247%
Ventaja +0.114%
Kelly +0.211%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.64%46.14%46.15%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.082.082.1750.25%48.03%48.19%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.2%2026-06-17 17:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.677%E -0.315%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-17 17:19
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 17:20
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:30
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 17:29
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.752%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 17:10
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.752%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 15:40
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:10
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 17:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 17:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 17:30
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 17:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-17 15:18
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 14:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 17:30
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.464%E -0.251%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 18:10
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 16:59
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 16:20
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:48
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 18:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:50
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:50
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 15:40
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 18:10
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 18:10
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:50
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.76%E -2.82%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 18:10
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.22%E -3.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.22%E -3.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.31%E -3.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:50
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.07%E -4.05%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-06-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-17 18:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 18:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 18:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-17 18:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-17 18:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-06-17 18:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-17 18:10