Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-05-19 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 9–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 50.86%1.97odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.77%50.91%51.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.881.881.9254.64%53.21%53.19%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 49.14%2.03odd justa
EV -0.239%
Vantagem -0.118%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.21%49.23%49.09%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.941.942.0354.05%51.50%51.55%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 50.86%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 49.14%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.035. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.030, com valor esperado de -0.239%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.22%E -0.608%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-19 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 23:39
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 23:37
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 22:19
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-19 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 21:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 20:39
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 02:10
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -0.730%E -0.362%K -0.716%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 21:00
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.22%E -0.608%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:29
BetAnything🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.22%E -0.608%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 21:20
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:19
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.239%E -0.118%K -0.232%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:18
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.68%E -1.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:19
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:40
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:19
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:19
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:19
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:06
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 17:16
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:09
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:19
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:18
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:19
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 20:40
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 18:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 20:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 23:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.68%E -1.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 21:00
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-19 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-19 23:19
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-19 16:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-19 20:40
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-05-19 23:39