L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 23:46 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 9–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 50.86%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.77%50.91%51.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.881.881.9254.64%53.21%53.19%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.14%2.03cote équitable
EV -0.239%
Avantage -0.118%
Kelly -0.232%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.21%49.23%49.09%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.941.942.0354.05%51.50%51.55%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.22%E -0.608%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-19 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 23:39
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 23:39
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 23:37
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 22:19
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-19 20:40
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 20:39
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 02:10
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -0.730%E -0.362%K -0.716%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 21:00
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.22%E -0.608%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:29
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.22%E -0.608%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 21:20
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:19
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.239%E -0.118%K -0.232%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:18
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.68%E -1.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:19
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:19
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:19
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:40
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:19
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:19
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:19
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:19
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:19
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:06
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 20:40
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 17:16
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:09
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:19
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:18
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:19
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:19
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 20:40
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:40
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 18:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 20:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 23:38
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.68%E -1.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 21:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-19 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-19 23:19
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-19 16:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-19 20:40
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-05-19 23:39