L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 23:46 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 5–1 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 43.24%2.31cote équitable
EV -0.109%
Avantage -0.047%
Kelly -0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.18%43.34%43.27%45.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.212.202.3147.62%45.18%45.45%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.76%1.76cote équitable
EV -0.675%
Avantage -0.386%
Kelly -0.900%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%56.66%56.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.691.7562.50%59.42%59.17%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.109%E -0.047%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 23:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.541%E -0.235%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 23:34
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.541%E -0.235%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 14:45
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.541%E -0.235%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:30
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.541%E -0.235%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.62%E -5.35%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 23:34
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.41%E -0.617%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 23:45
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.41%E -0.617%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 23:45
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.41%E -0.617%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 17:25
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.84%E -0.810%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 23:44
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.84%E -0.810%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 23:34
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:45
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 21:00
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 23:24
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 20:59
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 17:23
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 16:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 16:40
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 17:29
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 17:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 21:20
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 21:05
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.57%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:35
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 13:49
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 23:40
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 21:00
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.30%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:33
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:34
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:34
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -0.675%E -0.386%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.49%E -4.59%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 23:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:45
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:45
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:43
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%0.4%2026-07-08 23:44
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-08 23:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-08 23:45
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-08 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-07-08 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-07-08 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-07-08 23:45
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-07-08 23:45
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-07-08 23:45