La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-07-08 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 5–1 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 43.24%2.31momio equitativo
EV -0.109%
Ventaja -0.047%
Kelly -0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.18%43.34%43.27%45.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.3147.62%45.18%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.76%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.675%
Ventaja -0.386%
Kelly -0.900%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%56.66%56.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.691.7562.50%59.42%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.109%E -0.047%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 23:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.541%E -0.235%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 23:34
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.541%E -0.235%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 14:45
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.541%E -0.235%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:30
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.541%E -0.235%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.62%E -5.35%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 23:34
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.41%E -0.617%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 23:45
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.41%E -0.617%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 23:45
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.41%E -0.617%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 17:25
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.84%E -0.810%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 23:44
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.84%E -0.810%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 23:34
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:45
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 21:00
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 23:24
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 20:59
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 17:23
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 16:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 16:40
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 17:29
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 17:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 21:20
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 21:05
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.57%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 23:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:35
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 13:49
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 23:40
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 21:00
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.30%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:33
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:34
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:34
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -0.675%E -0.386%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.49%E -4.59%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 23:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:45
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:45
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:43
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%0.4%2026-07-08 23:44
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-08 23:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-08 23:45
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-08 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-07-08 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-07-08 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-07-08 23:45
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-07-08 23:45
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-07-08 23:45