Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 1–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 44.48%2.25fair odd
EV +0.077%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.61%44.52%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.30%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 55.52%1.80fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.876%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.39%55.48%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.711.8359.88%58.39%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 44.48%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 55.52%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +1.60%E +0.876%K +1.93%G +0.031%1.8%2026-05-03 17:15
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.17%E -0.659%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:15
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.84%E -1.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.84%E -1.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:12
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.077%E +0.034%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-03 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.26%E -0.566%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.26%E -0.566%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 18:15
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.26%E -0.566%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 18:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 18:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.15%E -2.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 16:54
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 18:10
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 18:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:10
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -8.37%E -4.06%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +0.077%E +0.034%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 18:15
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 18:14
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 18:14
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:08
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:10
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 16:05
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 16:05
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:13
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -0.812%E -0.364%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -0.812%E -0.364%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:30
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.26%E -0.566%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.17%E -3.65%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.17%E -3.65%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:13
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:14
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.15%E -0.976%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-03 18:10
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-03 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-03 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-03 18:05
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-03 16:05
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%1.0%2026-05-03 18:15
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-05-03 18:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-05-03 18:15