A Escola das Odds

St. Louis Cardinals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Início: 2026-05-02 23:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 45.24%2.21odd justa
EV +0.885%
Vantagem +0.397%
Kelly +0.719%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%45.16%45.30%46.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.962.142.152.2351.02%46.69%46.51%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Previsão 54.76%1.83odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.81%54.84%54.70%56.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.721.7959.88%57.90%58.14%55.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.885%E +0.397%K +0.719%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 23:01
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 23:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 21:15
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 22:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:01
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.46%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 23:14
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 02:29
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 22:59
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:01
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 23:04
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 23:10
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:00
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:01
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 12:45
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 23:10
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 23:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 12:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 23:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:40
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:40
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:50
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 15:15
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 12:45
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:50
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:14
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 23:09
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 23:15
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 23:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 23:10
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.45%E -2.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 23:10
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.81%E -3.30%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 23:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 23:12
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -11.33%E -5.78%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 44.72%1.82I 54.95%NM 55.28%-0.6%2026-05-02 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-02 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-05-02 23:10
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%0.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Novig2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%0.8%2026-05-02 23:14
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-02 22:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-05-02 23:10
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-05-02 23:15