La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-05-02 23:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 45.24%2.21momio equitativo
EV +0.885%
Ventaja +0.397%
Kelly +0.719%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%45.16%45.30%46.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.142.152.2351.02%46.69%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 54.76%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.81%54.84%54.70%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.721.7959.88%57.90%58.14%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.885%E +0.397%K +0.719%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 23:01
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 23:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 21:15
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 22:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:01
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.46%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 23:14
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.472%E -0.215%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 02:29
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 22:59
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:01
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.632%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:00
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 23:04
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 23:10
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:00
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.843%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:01
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 12:45
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 23:10
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 23:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 12:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 23:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:40
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:40
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:50
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 15:15
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 12:45
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:50
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:14
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 23:09
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 23:15
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 23:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 23:10
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.45%E -2.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 23:10
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.81%E -3.30%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 23:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 23:12
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -11.33%E -5.78%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 44.72%1.82I 54.95%NM 55.28%-0.6%2026-05-02 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-02 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-05-02 23:10
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%0.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Novig2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%0.8%2026-05-02 23:14
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-02 22:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-05-02 23:10
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-05-02 23:15