La scuola delle quote

St. Louis Cardinals v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-05-16 00:16 UTC

Finale: St. Louis Cardinals 5–4 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)

Previsione 49.47%2.02quota equa
EV -0.565%
Vantaggio -0.281%
Kelly -0.559%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.75%49.37%49.47%50.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.921.922.0154.95%52.01%52.08%49.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.53%1.98quota equa
EV +0.049%
Vantaggio +0.025%
Kelly +0.050%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.47%50.63%50.53%52.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.881.881.9855.56%53.22%53.19%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -4.03%E -2.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV +0.049%E +0.025%K +0.050%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 19:05
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 21:40
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.48%E -1.28%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 22:25
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.98%E -1.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 19:05
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-15 21:50
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 23:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 19:54
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 19:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 22:05
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 12:20
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.565%E -0.281%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 00:10
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.565%E -0.281%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 00:10
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.565%E -0.281%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 00:10
Everygame2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.565%E -0.281%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 23:50
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.565%E -0.281%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 00:09
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.03%E -2.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 00:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:55
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 00:15
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:00
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 00:15
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 21:38
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:54
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:50
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:35
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:35
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 00:15
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:35
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 00:15
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 21:40
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 00:15
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 00:05
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.03%E -2.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.03%E -2.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:49
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 00:15
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 00:15
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 00:15
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 00:15
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 00:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 00:15
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 00:09
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 00:15
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.49%E -4.01%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.01%E -3.23%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:50
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 00:01
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 00:15
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.44%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 00:15
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.44%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 00:15
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 00:15
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 00:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.53%E -4.11%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 00:15
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.53%E -4.11%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -8.48%E -4.58%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -8.54%E -4.72%K -10.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 00:15
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 00:15
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.96%E -5.47%K -12.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 00:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-16 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-16 00:05
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-05-16 00:15
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-15 20:45
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-16 00:10
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-16 00:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%3.7%2026-05-16 00:15
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.42%12.7%2026-05-16 00:15