Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Colorado Rockies

2026-08-08 00:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 57.90%1.73fair odd

EV -0.420%

Edge -0.244%

Kelly -0.583%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.85%58.03%57.87%59.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.581.651.651.7263.29%60.74%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 42.10%2.38fair odd

EV +2.31%

Edge +0.952%

Kelly +1.62%

Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.44%41.97%42.13%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.272.252.4347.62%44.15%44.44%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 57.90%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 42.10%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.43, producing a positive expected value of +2.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +2.31%E +0.952%K +1.62%G +0.037%	1.8%	2026-08-06 18:19
GTbets🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.212%E -0.090%K -0.155%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-06 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.633%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-06 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.633%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-06 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.449%K -0.781%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-06 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-06 17:35
Fliff🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-06 17:45
FanDuel🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.89%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-06 17:35
Bet Right🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 18:20
1xBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -0.420%E -0.244%K -0.583%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-06 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 17:35
888sport🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 17:39
PlayUp🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-06 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-06 17:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 17:35
Bet Victor🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-06 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-06 18:20
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 17:50
SportsBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 17:35
ReBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-06 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-06 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.70%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.58%E -5.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-06 17:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-08-06 17:45
Polymarket◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-08-06 17:35
Smarkets◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%	2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%	10.1%	2026-08-06 17:35
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 68.05%	2.13I 46.95%NM 31.95%	46.9%	2026-08-06 18:45

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.71%1xBet 1.72 (58.6%) / Caesars 2.43 (41.4%)Show details

1xBet🎯 Caesars🎯

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)	Colorado Rockies (Visit)	Margin
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.6%)	Caesars🎯 2.43 (41.4%)	+0.713%