Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 23:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 6–8 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 58.91%1.70fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.966%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.75%58.95%59.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.621.6764.94%61.62%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 41.09%2.43fair odd
EV -0.161%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.113%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.25%41.05%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.352.4345.45%42.90%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 58.91%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 41.09%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.434. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.430, with an expected value of -0.161%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.61%E -0.966%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.39%E -0.581%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 20:00
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.61%E -0.966%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.61%E -0.966%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.39%E -0.581%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.161%E -0.066%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-08 21:20
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.161%E -0.066%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.572%E -0.236%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 22:35
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.572%E -0.236%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.39%E -0.581%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.39%E -0.581%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 22:39
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-08 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 19:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 03:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 23:08
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 12:49
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 23:14
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.39%E -0.581%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.39%E -0.581%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 23:14
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:50
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 22:09
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 21:19
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 23:14
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 12:49
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 13:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:29
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:29
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 03:05
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:59
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:30
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 12:49
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.09%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 23:04
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:29
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:30
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.22%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 22:34
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 05:50
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.38%E -3.76%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 22:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.27%E -6.02%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-08 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-08 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-08 23:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-08 18:15
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-08 23:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-08 23:15
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-08-08 23:15
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-08 23:15
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-08-08 23:09
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-08-08 23:15