Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 7–4 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 60.11%1.66fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.14%60.09%60.15%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.581.6466.23%63.05%63.29%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 39.89%2.51fair odd
EV +0.128%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%39.91%39.85%40.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.402.402.5143.67%41.69%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 60.11%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 39.89%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.507. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.510, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.128%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23%EV +0.128%E +0.051%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-09 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.271%E -0.108%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-09 11:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -0.670%E -0.269%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.07%E -0.431%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-09 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.07%E -0.431%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-09 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV -1.47%E -0.594%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 14:24
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.87%E -0.759%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 06:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.27%E -0.925%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.27%E -0.925%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.27%E -0.925%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.27%E -0.925%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 15:50
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.27%E -0.925%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 17:00
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.66%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 16:35
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.42%E -0.867%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 15:45
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 14:08
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.23%E -2.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.23%E -2.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 14:24
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.23%E -2.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 03:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 03:00
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.43%E -2.78%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 19:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.43%E -2.78%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.43%E -2.78%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 03:00
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 11:19
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 11:19
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 05:35
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.66%E -1.95%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 06:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 18:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 23:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 12:29
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.43%E -2.78%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.86%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 03:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 03:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 18:04
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 18:15
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 18:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -9.24%E -6.12%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 15:50
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.23%E -2.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.05%E -3.03%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.23%E -2.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.05%E -3.03%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:04
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.23%E -3.99%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.65%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%-0.1%2026-08-09 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-08-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-08-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-08-09 18:15
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-09 18:15
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-09 18:15
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-08-09 17:20
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-09 04:55
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-09 09:45
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%7.2%2026-08-09 18:15