La scuola delle quote

St. Louis Cardinals v Cleveland Guardians

Inizio: 2026-04-15 17:21 UTC

Finale: St. Louis Cardinals 5–3 Cleveland Guardians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)

Previsione 50.26%1.99quota equa
EV +1.03%
Vantaggio +0.512%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.59%50.19%50.26%51.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.901.902.0154.64%52.67%52.63%49.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.74%2.01quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.768%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.93%49.81%49.74%51.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.921.911.9854.05%52.12%52.36%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +1.03%E +0.512%K +1.02%G +0.010%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +1.03%E +0.512%K +1.02%G +0.010%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 17:15
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +1.03%E +0.512%K +1.02%G +0.010%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 17:15
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.479%E -0.242%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 17:20
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.02%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 17:05
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-15 15:05
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 17:15
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.49%E -1.28%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.52%E -0.768%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 17:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:15
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 14:50
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.49%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 15:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.49%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:14
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.49%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:15
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 16:55
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 15:04
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 12:58
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 13:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 13:45
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:44
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 17:15
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 17:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.02%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 17:10
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.52%E -1.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 13:00
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 14:45
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:14
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.01%E -1.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.01%E -1.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.01%E -1.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:20
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 17:14
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 15:05
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 14:31
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:10
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 17:15
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 17:10
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 17:10
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:09
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 17:04
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.02%E -4.38%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 14:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.37%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.63%-0.2%2026-04-15 17:10
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-15 17:20
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-04-15 17:20
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-04-15 17:20
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-04-15 17:15