L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 17:21 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 5–3 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 50.26%1.99cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.512%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.59%50.19%50.26%51.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.901.902.0154.64%52.67%52.63%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.74%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.768%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.93%49.81%49.74%51.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.921.911.9854.05%52.12%52.36%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +1.03%E +0.512%K +1.02%G +0.010%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +1.03%E +0.512%K +1.02%G +0.010%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 17:15
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +1.03%E +0.512%K +1.02%G +0.010%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 17:15
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.479%E -0.242%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 17:20
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.02%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 17:05
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-15 15:05
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 17:15
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.49%E -1.28%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.52%E -0.768%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 17:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:15
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 14:50
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.49%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 15:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.49%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:14
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.49%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:15
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 16:55
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 15:04
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 12:58
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 13:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 13:45
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:44
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 17:15
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 17:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.02%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 17:10
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.52%E -1.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 13:00
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 14:45
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:14
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.01%E -1.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.01%E -1.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.51%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.01%E -1.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:20
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:10
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 17:14
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 15:05
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 14:31
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:10
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 17:15
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 17:10
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 17:10
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:09
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 17:04
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.02%E -4.38%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.37%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.63%-0.2%2026-04-15 17:10
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-15 17:20
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-04-15 17:20
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-04-15 17:20
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-04-15 17:15