L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 23:47 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 6–5 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 46.21%2.16cote équitable
EV +0.272%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.232%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.20%46.36%46.29%48.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.072.072.1751.81%48.40%48.31%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.79%1.86cote équitable
EV -0.485%
Avantage -0.262%
Kelly -0.571%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.06%53.64%53.71%54.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.33%56.50%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.272%E +0.125%K +0.232%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 23:44
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.653%E -0.304%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 23:44
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.653%E -0.304%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.653%E -0.304%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 23:45
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.04%E -0.962%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.56%E -0.853%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-14 23:40
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.04%E -0.962%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.56%E -0.853%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-14 23:44
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.04%E -0.962%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 23:44
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:45
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:45
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:45
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 23:44
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:44
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 23:45
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:44
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:44
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:45
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:45
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:45
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:45
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:44
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:44
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:44
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:45
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:45
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:45
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:43
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:44
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:44
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 23:45
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.74%E -2.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:45
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.74%E -2.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:44
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:44
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 23:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:43
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.05%E -4.04%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.55%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.36%E -5.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.55%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-14 23:45
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.82%E -5.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -0.485%E -0.262%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-14 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-04-14 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-04-14 23:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-14 23:45
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-04-14 23:45
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-04-14 23:45
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-04-14 23:45