La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-04-14 23:47 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 6–5 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 46.21%2.16momio equitativo
EV +0.272%
Ventaja +0.125%
Kelly +0.232%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.20%46.36%46.29%48.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.072.072.1751.81%48.40%48.31%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 53.79%1.86momio equitativo
EV -0.485%
Ventaja -0.262%
Kelly -0.571%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.06%53.64%53.71%54.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.33%56.50%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.272%E +0.125%K +0.232%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 23:44
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.653%E -0.304%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 23:44
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.653%E -0.304%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.653%E -0.304%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 23:45
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.04%E -0.962%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.56%E -0.853%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-14 23:40
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.04%E -0.962%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.56%E -0.853%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-14 23:44
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.04%E -0.962%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 23:44
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:45
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:44
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:45
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:45
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 23:44
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:44
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.71%E -2.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 23:45
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:44
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:44
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.89%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:45
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:45
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:45
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:45
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:45
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:44
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:44
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:44
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:45
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:45
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:45
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:43
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:44
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:44
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 23:45
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.74%E -2.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:45
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.74%E -2.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:44
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.17%E -1.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:44
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 23:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.86%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:43
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.05%E -4.04%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.55%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.36%E -5.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.55%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-14 23:45
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.82%E -5.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -0.485%E -0.262%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-04-14 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-14 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-04-14 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-04-14 23:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-14 23:45
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-04-14 23:45
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-04-14 23:45
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-04-14 23:45