L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 23:21 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 5–1 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 51.52%1.94cote équitable
EV -0.566%
Avantage -0.293%
Kelly -0.609%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%51.46%51.95%53.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.851.851.9357.14%54.15%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.48%2.06cote équitable
EV -0.131%
Avantage -0.064%
Kelly -0.124%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%48.54%48.05%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.971.982.0653.48%50.84%50.51%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -0.566%E -0.293%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-31 23:19
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.08%E -0.563%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -1.08%E -0.563%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 22:50
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:20
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:19
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:19
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 23:20
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -0.131%E -0.064%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-31 21:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.616%E -0.301%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 23:19
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.616%E -0.301%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 22:40
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.616%E -0.301%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.10%E -0.540%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 23:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.10%E -0.540%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 23:20
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 23:19
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 23:20
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 23:19
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 23:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 23:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.34%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.131%E -0.064%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 23:20
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 23:20
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 22:50
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 23:19
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 23:20
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.20%E -2.83%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -2.56%E -1.27%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.20%E -2.83%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.92%E -3.60%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 23:20
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 22:20
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 22:50
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 22:59
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 23:19
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 23:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 23:10
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 23:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 22:50
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 23:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 22:50
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -8.37%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 23:19
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 23:19
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.75%E -3.73%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.49%E -2.28%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 23:19
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -6.75%E -3.73%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 23:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 21:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 21:39
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 21:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 15:29
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.34%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.616%E -0.301%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-31 23:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-31 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-31 23:20
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-05-31 23:18
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-31 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-05-31 23:20
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-05-31 23:20