La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-05-31 23:21 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 5–1 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 51.52%1.94momio equitativo
EV -0.566%
Ventaja -0.293%
Kelly -0.609%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.47%51.46%51.95%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.851.851.9357.14%54.15%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 48.48%2.06momio equitativo
EV -0.131%
Ventaja -0.064%
Kelly -0.124%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%48.54%48.05%50.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.971.982.0653.48%50.84%50.51%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -0.566%E -0.293%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-31 23:19
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.08%E -0.563%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -1.08%E -0.563%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 22:50
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:20
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:19
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:19
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 23:20
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -0.131%E -0.064%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-31 21:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.616%E -0.301%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 23:19
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.616%E -0.301%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 22:40
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.616%E -0.301%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.10%E -0.540%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 23:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.10%E -0.540%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 23:20
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 23:19
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 23:20
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 23:19
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 23:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 23:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.34%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.131%E -0.064%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 23:20
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 23:20
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 22:50
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 23:19
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 23:20
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.20%E -2.83%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -2.56%E -1.27%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.20%E -2.83%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.92%E -3.60%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 23:20
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 22:20
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 22:50
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 22:59
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 23:19
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 23:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 23:10
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 23:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 22:50
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 23:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 22:50
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -8.37%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 23:19
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 23:19
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.75%E -3.73%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.49%E -2.28%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 23:19
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -6.75%E -3.73%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 23:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 21:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 21:39
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 21:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 15:29
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.34%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.616%E -0.301%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-31 23:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-31 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-31 23:20
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-05-31 23:18
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-31 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-05-31 23:20
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-05-31 23:20
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-05-31 23:20