Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-07-28 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–10 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 50.05%2.00odd justa
EV +0.104%
Vantagem +0.052%
Kelly +0.104%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.64%50.01%50.00%51.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.841.921.912.0054.35%52.04%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 49.95%2.00odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.557%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.96%49.99%50.00%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.891.901.9856.50%52.83%52.63%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 50.05%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 49.95%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.998. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.000, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.104%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +0.104%E +0.052%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -9.09%E -5.00%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -0.897%E -0.453%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -9.09%E -5.00%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -0.897%E -0.453%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -9.09%E -5.00%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.60%E -2.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.60%E -2.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:19
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:19
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:20
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -1.40%E -0.709%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -9.09%E -5.00%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 23:19
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.40%E -1.23%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.60%E -0.813%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 23:19
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.40%E -1.23%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 23:24
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.40%E -1.23%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.90%E -1.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.10%E -0.557%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.90%E -1.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.10%E -1.07%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.90%E -1.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.10%E -1.07%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 23:19
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.90%E -1.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.10%E -1.07%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 23:19
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.90%E -1.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.10%E -1.07%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.76%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -3.40%E -1.76%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -11.59%E -6.55%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 22:30
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.14%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.90%E -2.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:19
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.90%E -2.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.60%E -2.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 23:19
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -3.90%E -2.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.10%E -4.40%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 23:45
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 23:38
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:44
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:19
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:18
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 03:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:19
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.60%E -2.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:19
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.60%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:30
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:19
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.40%E -2.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -1.60%E -0.813%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:44
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.40%E -2.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.40%E -2.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.24%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 23:44
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 23:34
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 21:19
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 23:34
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 23:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.90%E -4.30%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.10%E -3.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-07-28 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-07-28 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-07-28 23:39
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-28 22:55
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-28 22:50
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-07-28 23:44
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.8%2026-07-28 23:45
BetOpenly◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%2.3%2026-07-28 23:44
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%2.6%2026-07-28 23:34