Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-28 23:46 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 49.45%2.02momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.43%49.43%49.47%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.861.921.921.9853.76%51.99%52.08%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 50.55%1.98momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.994%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.57%50.53%51.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.881.881.9454.95%53.15%53.19%51.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.09%E -1.06%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.93%E -0.994%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 07:54
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.09%E -1.06%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.97%E -3.21%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 07:59
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.59%E -1.31%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 08:04
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.93%E -0.994%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 06:19
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.93%E -0.994%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 06:19
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.93%E -0.994%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 06:20
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.95%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 04:50
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 03:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 03:25
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 07:05
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.07%E -2.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 05:01
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.07%E -2.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.97%E -3.21%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 07:59
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:39
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:15
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:15
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:15
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 07:20
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 04:15
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 04:15
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 05:01
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 04:15
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 04:15
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 04:14
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 07:49
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 07:39
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 07:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 07:44
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 08:19
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 03:45
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 03:45
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 04:15
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 04:15
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 04:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:39
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 03:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:38
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:39
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 08:29
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 07:38
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 07:19
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 07:39
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 07:19
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 07:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 04:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 04:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 04:50
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 02:45
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 02:44
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 07:39
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.53%E -4.03%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 07:39
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.53%E -4.03%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -8.03%E -4.32%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -7.99%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 07:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-07-28 08:14
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-28 05:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-07-28 07:50
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%2.1%2026-07-28 06:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%6.0%2026-07-28 08:14
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%9.9%2026-07-28 07:40
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 48.45%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.55%12.8%2026-07-28 08:10