Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 23:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 1–6 Chicago Cubs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 45.55%2.20fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.706%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.97%45.44%45.59%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.102.2348.78%47.17%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 54.45%1.84fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%54.56%54.41%56.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.30%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 45.55%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 54.45%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +1.58%E +0.706%K +1.28%G +0.020%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-30 23:00
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.702%E -0.322%K -0.595%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.702%E -0.322%K -0.595%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-30 21:49
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 23:10
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 21:50
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.99%E -1.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 21:50
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 21:30
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 23:09
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 21:50
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 21:40
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 21:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 21:50
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 21:50
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 21:50
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 21:40
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 21:41
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -2.98%E -1.40%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 21:29
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.44%E -1.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 23:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 14:39
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 23:10
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 23:07
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 23:09
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 23:09
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 15:19
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 23:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 15:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 23:10
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 15:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 20:20
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.80%E -2.30%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:10
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 21:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:40
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.71%E -2.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 20:00
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.71%E -2.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-05-30 23:00
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-05-30 23:10
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-30 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-30 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-30 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-30 23:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-30 14:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-05-30 23:10
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-30 22:50
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-05-30 14:39