Language:English
St. Louis Cardinals v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 44.72%2.24fair odd
EV -0.279%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.227%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%44.68%44.73%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2350.00%46.40%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 55.28%1.81fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.32%55.27%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.40%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 44.72%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 55.28%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -0.279%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -0.279%E -0.125%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -0.279%E -0.125%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.726%E -0.327%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-10 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-10 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-10 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.07%E -0.944%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.51%E -1.15%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.51%E -1.15%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -2.51%E -1.15%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 23:36 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -2.96%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 23:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 20:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 20:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.57%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -8.23%E -4.96%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.75%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 20:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.15%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.57%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.23%E -4.96%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 00:15 |