Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 00:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 55.14%1.81fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.15%55.21%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.721.731.7760.24%58.06%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 44.86%2.23fair odd
EV +0.938%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +0.750%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%44.85%44.79%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.74%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 55.14%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 44.86%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.938%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.938%E +0.417%K +0.750%G +0.007%1.9%2026-06-26 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.041%E +0.018%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 00:20
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.857%E -0.388%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 23:10
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-25 23:10
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 00:20
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 00:20
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 00:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 00:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.31%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 00:20
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.75%E -0.801%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-25 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.75%E -0.801%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-25 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.75%E -0.801%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-25 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-25 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 00:19
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 00:30
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-25 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 18:40
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 20:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 00:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.45%E -2.09%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 23:18
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.45%E -2.09%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 21:19
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 21:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 21:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 21:19
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 21:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 05:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 21:20
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 00:29
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 22:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 00:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.24%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 23:38
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 00:14
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 23:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 21:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -8.93%E -4.40%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-25 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-26 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-06-25 23:10
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-25 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-26 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-26 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-26 00:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-25 23:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-25 23:50
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%2.1%2026-06-26 00:30
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%4.9%2026-06-26 00:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%5.0%2026-06-26 00:21