Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-09-09 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 5–10 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 53.34%1.87odd justa
EV +0.285%
Vantagem +0.151%
Kelly +0.324%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.16%53.47%53.27%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.791.8858.82%56.02%56.02%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 46.66%2.14odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -0.962%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%46.53%46.73%47.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.052.052.1050.51%48.80%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 53.34%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 46.66%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.87. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.88, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.285%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV +0.285%E +0.151%K +0.324%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 01:35
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.249%E -0.133%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 01:34
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 00:07
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 01:04
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 01:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 01:03
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 01:35
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 01:37
theScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 23:13
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.95%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 01:39
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 01:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:19
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 00:03
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:14
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 01:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:19
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 00:24
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.95%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 00:54
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 00:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 00:54
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:44
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.29%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:40
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.29%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 01:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 23:45
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 00:09
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 01:29
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 23:14
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 01:13
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:40
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 01:40
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 01:28
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 01:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-09-09 01:39
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-09-09 01:40
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-09 01:40
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-09-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-09 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-09 01:39
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-08 23:55
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-09 01:30
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-09-09 01:40
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%5.0%2026-09-09 01:39