Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-09-09 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 5–10 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 53.34%1.87momio equitativo
EV +0.285%
Ventaja +0.151%
Kelly +0.324%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.16%53.47%53.27%55.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.791.8858.82%56.02%56.02%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 46.66%2.14momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.962%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.53%46.73%47.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.052.052.1050.51%48.80%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 53.34%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 46.66%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.87. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.88, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.285%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV +0.285%E +0.151%K +0.324%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 01:35
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.249%E -0.133%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 01:34
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 00:07
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 01:04
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 01:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 01:03
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 01:35
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 01:37
theScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 23:13
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.95%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 01:39
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 01:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:19
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 00:03
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:14
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 23:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 01:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:19
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 00:24
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.95%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 00:54
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 00:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 00:54
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:44
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.29%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:40
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.29%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 01:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 23:45
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 00:09
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 01:29
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 23:14
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 01:13
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:40
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 01:40
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 01:28
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.02%E -0.962%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 01:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-09-09 01:39
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-09-09 01:40
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-09 01:40
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-09-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-09 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-09 01:39
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-08 23:55
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-09 01:30
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-09-09 01:40
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%5.0%2026-09-09 01:39