默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers

开赛时间： 2026-09-10 20:10 UTC

最终结果： Seattle Mariners 4–3 Texas Rangers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 54.27%1.84公平赔率

EV -2.86%

优势 -1.60%

Kelly -3.62%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布

53.66%54.32%54.26%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.681.741.751.7959.52%57.31%57.31%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Texas Rangers (客队)

预测 45.73%2.19公平赔率

EV -2.14%

优势 -0.999%

Kelly -1.87%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.14

博彩公司预测分布

45.17%45.68%45.74%46.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.982.082.092.1450.51%48.11%47.73%46.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Seattle Mariners (主队)：54.27%；Texas Rangers (客队)：45.73%。对于“Texas Rangers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.14，期望值为-2.14%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.14%E -0.999%K -1.87%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-09 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.14%E -0.999%K -1.87%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.94%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-09 17:40
Fanatics🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-09 17:35
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-09 17:40
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-09 17:39
betfred_uk🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.94%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.42%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 17:35
Bet Right🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-09 17:35
PlayUp🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-09 17:40
SportsBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-09 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.80%E -2.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-09 17:33
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-09 17:35
Fliff🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-09 17:35
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-09 17:40
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-09 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-09 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-09 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-09 17:40
betano_uk🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-09 17:33
Bet Victor🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-09 17:33
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.83%E -5.25%K -12.98%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.45%E -4.77%K -9.65%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-09-09 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.83%E -5.25%K -12.98%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.45%E -4.77%K -9.65%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-09-09 17:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Polymarket◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%	1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%	10.0%	2026-09-09 17:35

Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers

胜负盘

Seattle Mariners (主队)

Texas Rangers (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (3)

博彩交易所 (3)