Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-08-09 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 50.27%1.99fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.34%50.26%51.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.891.9655.87%53.00%52.91%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 49.73%2.01fair odd
EV -0.546%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.546%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.40%49.66%49.74%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.931.932.0053.19%51.77%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Mariners (Local): 50.27%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 49.73%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -0.546%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.46%E -0.747%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 13:54
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 14:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:40
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:39
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.54%E -0.778%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 13:45
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:45
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 13:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.546%E -0.273%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 12:20
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 14:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.03%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 13:44
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 13:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 13:54
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:35
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:40
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:55
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.98%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.03%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 14:15
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.98%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.03%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 14:14
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.98%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.98%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.98%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.53%E -1.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.03%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.49%E -3.49%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.00%E -4.37%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -3.53%E -1.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -3.53%E -1.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -10.01%E -5.59%K -12.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -6.02%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-08-09 13:45
BetOpenly1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-09 14:05
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-09 14:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-09 14:15
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%0.5%2026-08-09 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-09 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-09 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-09 13:35
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-09 13:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%7.5%2026-08-09 14:15