Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants

Начало: 2026-07-18 02:11 UTC

Итог: Seattle Mariners 0–7 San Francisco Giants

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

61 букмекерская контора (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Seattle Mariners (Хозяева)

Прогноз 62.18%1.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.14%
Преимущество -0.715%
Kelly -1.93%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.59

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.76%62.16%62.22%63.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.481.541.541.5967.57%65.13%64.94%62.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

San Francisco Giants (Гости)

Прогноз 37.82%2.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.528%
Преимущество -0.201%
Kelly -0.324%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.63

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.27%37.84%37.78%39.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.522.502.6341.67%39.66%40.00%38.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Seattle Mariners (Хозяева): 62.18%; San Francisco Giants (Гости): 37.82%. Для исхода «San Francisco Giants (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.64. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.63, математическое ожидание — -0.528%; положительного ожидания не было.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.14%E -0.715%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 02:04
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.76%E -1.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.42%E -0.938%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 01:55
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.38%E -1.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.93%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -0.528%E -0.201%K -0.324%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.28%E -0.492%K -0.798%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.28%E -0.492%K -0.798%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 02:10
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.80%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 02:00
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 01:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 01:35
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:09
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 17:04
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.23%E -3.84%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.18%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 00:25
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.93%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 16:49
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:45
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:45
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:45
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:45
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.20%E -2.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:59
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.20%E -2.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.66%E -0.640%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.66%E -0.640%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 15:19
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.42%E -0.938%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 19:39
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 21:39
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.69%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 01:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:49
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 01:45
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.49%E -3.61%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.49%E -3.61%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.31%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.49%E -3.61%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 01:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.49%E -3.61%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 02:10
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.11%E -4.05%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.80%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 02:10
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.11%E -4.05%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 15:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 23:44
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:45
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.66%E -0.640%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 19:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-07-18 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-18 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-18 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-18 02:10
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-18 02:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-17 21:45
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-18 02:10
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-07-18 02:09
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-07-18 02:10
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-07-18 02:10