La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Predicción 62.18%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.715%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%62.16%62.22%63.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.541.541.5967.57%65.13%64.94%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Francisco Giants (Visitante)
Predicción 37.82%2.64momio equitativo
EV -0.528%
Ventaja -0.201%
Kelly -0.324%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.27%37.84%37.78%39.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6341.67%39.66%40.00%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.14%E -0.715%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 02:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.76%E -1.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.42%E -0.938%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 01:55 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.38%E -1.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.93%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 02:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -0.528%E -0.201%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.28%E -0.492%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.28%E -0.492%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.80%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.00%E -1.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 01:35 |
| Bovada | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 02:09 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.62%E -2.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.23%E -3.84%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.18%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 00:25 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-17 21:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-17 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.93%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.20%E -2.50%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.20%E -2.50%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.66%E -0.640%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.66%E -0.640%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 15:19 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.42%E -0.938%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 19:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.69%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 01:55 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.49%E -3.61%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.49%E -3.61%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.31%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.49%E -3.61%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.49%E -3.61%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.11%E -4.05%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.80%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.11%E -4.05%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 15:29 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.45%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 01:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 01:55 |
| betano_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.34%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 01:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.66%E -0.640%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 19:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| Novig | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| BetOpenly | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 02:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 02:10 |