Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-04-01 20:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 52.17%1.92odd justa
EV -0.353%
Vantagem -0.185%
Kelly -0.387%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.14%52.22%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.841.831.9155.56%54.31%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 47.83%2.09odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.952%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%47.86%47.78%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.42%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 52.17%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 47.83%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.91, com valor esperado de -0.353%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.353%E -0.185%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 20:10
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.40%E -0.739%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 19:56
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.40%E -0.739%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 20:09
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.95%E -0.952%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 20:09
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.95%E -0.952%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 20:07
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:09
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 20:10
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:10
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:10
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.82%E -2.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.57%E -3.08%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.78%E -2.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 20:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:06
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.26%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 20:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.99%2.09I 47.85%NM 48.01%-0.3%2026-04-01 20:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-01 20:10
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-01 20:10
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-04-01 20:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-01 20:10
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-04-01 20:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-04-01 20:10