La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-04-01 20:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 52.17%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.353%
Ventaja -0.185%
Kelly -0.387%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.14%52.22%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.841.831.9155.56%54.31%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 47.83%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.952%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%47.86%47.78%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.42%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.353%E -0.185%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 20:10
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.40%E -0.739%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 19:56
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.40%E -0.739%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 20:09
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.95%E -0.952%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 20:09
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.95%E -0.952%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 20:09
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 20:07
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:09
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 20:10
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 20:10
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 20:09
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 20:10
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 20:10
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 20:09
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 20:10
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:09
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 20:10
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:10
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:10
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 20:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 20:10
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.82%E -2.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.57%E -3.08%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.78%E -2.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 20:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:06
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.26%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 20:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 20:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.99%2.09I 47.85%NM 48.01%-0.3%2026-04-01 20:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-01 20:10
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-01 20:10
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-04-01 20:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-01 20:10
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-04-01 20:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-04-01 20:10