Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v New York Mets

Início: 2026-06-02 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–2 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 53.80%1.86odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.545%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.18%53.83%53.92%54.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.771.761.8457.80%56.44%56.82%54.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 46.20%2.16odd justa
EV -0.677%
Vantagem -0.315%
Kelly -0.588%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%46.17%46.08%46.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.082.092.1550.00%48.06%47.73%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 53.80%; New York Mets (Visitante): 46.20%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.16. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.15, com valor esperado de -0.677%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.00%E -0.545%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 01:39
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-02 01:39
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 01:39
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 01:39
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 01:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.751%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 01:39
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.677%E -0.315%K -0.588%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-01 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:39
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 00:20
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 01:29
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-02 01:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 00:20
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 00:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 17:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 01:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 01:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 01:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 01:19
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 14:40
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 17:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 17:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:20
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:19
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:19
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 17:09
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 22:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 01:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 23:19
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 23:19
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-02 01:39
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 14:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-06-02 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-02 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-02 01:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-01 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-06-02 01:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-02 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-02 01:30
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-06-02 01:40
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-02 01:40
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-06-02 01:30