Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-06-02 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–2 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 53.80%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.545%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.18%53.83%53.92%54.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.771.761.8457.80%56.44%56.82%54.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 46.20%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.677%
Ventaja -0.315%
Kelly -0.588%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%46.17%46.08%46.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.082.092.1550.00%48.06%47.73%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 53.80%; New York Mets (Visitante): 46.20%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.16. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.15, con un valor esperado de -0.677%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.00%E -0.545%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 01:39
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-02 01:39
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 01:39
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 01:39
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 01:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.54%E -0.842%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.45%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.751%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 01:39
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.677%E -0.315%K -0.588%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-01 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:39
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 00:20
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 01:29
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-02 01:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 00:20
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 00:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 17:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 01:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 01:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 01:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.06%E -0.973%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 01:19
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 14:40
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 17:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 17:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:20
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:19
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:19
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 17:09
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 22:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 01:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 23:19
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 23:19
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.61%E -3.80%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-02 01:39
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 14:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-06-02 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-02 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-02 01:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-01 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-06-02 01:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-02 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-02 01:30
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-06-02 01:40
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-02 01:40
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-06-02 01:30