Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v New York Mets

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 01:45 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 8–3 New York Mets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 57.28%1.75fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.34%57.22%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.30%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 42.72%2.34fair odd
EV +0.387%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.287%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.66%42.78%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.23%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 57.28%; New York Mets (Visit): 42.72%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.387%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.387%E +0.165%K +0.287%G +0.001%3.2%2026-06-03 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 01:39
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:40
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:40
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:40
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:39
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:37
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.894%E -0.385%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:39
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 01:38
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 01:39
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 01:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.75%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.18%E -0.950%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 01:39
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.60%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-03 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.03%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.03%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.03%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 01:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 01:40
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 01:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 01:39
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 01:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 01:40
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 01:39
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 01:38
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 01:39
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 01:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 01:39
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-03 01:39
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.17%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 01:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.17%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.17%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.17%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 01:40
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.17%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 01:40
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 01:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-03 01:39
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.16%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 01:39
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.16%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.16%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.16%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-03 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.73I 57.80%NM 57.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.09%-0.2%2026-06-03 01:39
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-03 01:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-06-03 01:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-03 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-03 01:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-03 01:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-03 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-06-03 01:40
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-06-03 01:40