Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-01 02:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–5 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 60.45%1.65odd justa
EV -0.858%
Vantagem -0.523%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.82%60.34%60.45%61.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.38%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 39.55%2.53odd justa
EV +0.055%
Vantagem +0.022%
Kelly +0.036%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.54%39.66%39.55%41.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.272.422.432.5344.05%41.41%41.15%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 60.45%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 39.55%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.529. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.530, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.055%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.055%E +0.022%K +0.036%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.341%E -0.135%K -0.224%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.341%E -0.135%K -0.224%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 02:05
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.341%E -0.135%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 15:54
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 01:59
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 01:59
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.13%E -0.453%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 23:14
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.53%E -0.613%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-01 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.92%E -0.775%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 23:14
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.46%E -0.897%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 01:59
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 13:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 02:04
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 02:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 02:04
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 02:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:14
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:14
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:15
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:14
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:14
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.50%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 02:10
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -0.858%E -0.523%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.90%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 16:29
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 02:04
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.90%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.90%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 01:59
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 15:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 13:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.48%E -2.29%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 00:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 14:18
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -9.32%E -6.21%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:04
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 02:05
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 02:05
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 02:09
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 01:29
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 01:58
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 01:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -10.23%E -4.51%K -8.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 01:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-01 02:10
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-01 02:10
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 02:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-31 22:45
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 02:10
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-08-01 02:10
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-01 02:10
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-08-01 02:09