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Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-01 02:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 62.58%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -3.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%62.54%62.50%63.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.5768.03%65.46%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 37.42%2.67momio equitativo
EV -0.099%
Ventaja -0.037%
Kelly -0.059%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.43%37.46%37.50%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.502.6742.55%39.63%40.00%37.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.74%E -1.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.34%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-30 21:49
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.34%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 01:20
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 01:45
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 01:40
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:38
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 01:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.33%E -3.40%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.33%E -3.40%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.33%E -3.40%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:30
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.473%E -0.178%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 21:34
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.473%E -0.178%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 21:34
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.22%E -0.463%K -0.745%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-30 21:35
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 21:00
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.96%E -1.95%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:15
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -5.34%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:14
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 01:40
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 01:40
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 01:40
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 01:40
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 01:40
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.21%E -2.91%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 19:14
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.62%E -2.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.21%E -2.91%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 19:15
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -0.099%E -0.037%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 01:50
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.72%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 00:19
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.47%E -1.34%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 19:45
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.84%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 00:59
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 21:44
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 00:19
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 21:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 21:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:45
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:40
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:40
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.47%E -1.34%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 21:55
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.34%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:39
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 20:05
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 19:14
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 21:58
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:44
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.59%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:14
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 19:50
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.46%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 21:29
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.33%E -3.40%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 21:55
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.20%E -4.25%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.20%E -4.25%K -7.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.07%E -5.14%K -8.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-30 21:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-30 19:15
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-30 19:15
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-07-31 01:20
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%8.9%2026-07-31 01:50