Language:English
Seattle Mariners v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 55.73%1.79fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.762%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.78%55.79%55.70%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.53%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 44.27%2.26fair odd
EV +0.039%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.21%44.30%45.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.182.2647.62%45.97%45.87%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.73%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 44.27%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.259. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.260, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.039%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV +0.039%E +0.017%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.29%E -0.578%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.91%E -1.08%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.17%E -0.984%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.35%E -0.762%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.35%E -0.762%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 00:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 00:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.92%E -4.15%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.92%E -4.15%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.06%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.35%E -0.762%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 01:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.35%E -0.762%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 01:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.35%E -0.762%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 00:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 01:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.39%E -2.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.39%E -2.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 01:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.39%E -2.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 01:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 01:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 01:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 01:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.14%E -2.40%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 01:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 01:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.92%E -4.15%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 00:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.68%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.68%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 01:27 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.46%E -1.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.16%E -2.90%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.14%E -2.40%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-05-02 01:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 01:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 01:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 01:45 |