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Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 61.24%1.63fair odd
EV -0.788%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%61.24%61.25%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.571.6266.67%63.90%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 38.76%2.58fair odd
EV -0.004%
Edge -0.001%
Kelly -0.002%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.76%38.75%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.5843.48%40.84%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 61.24%; Houston Astros (Visit): 38.76%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.5801. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.5800, with an expected value of -0.004%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -0.788%E -0.487%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.88%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.40%E -0.870%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.72%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.40%E -0.870%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.40%E -0.870%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -2.01%E -1.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -5.82%E -2.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -2.01%E -1.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -5.82%E -2.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.63%E -1.65%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.94%E -0.767%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.63%E -1.65%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.92%E -3.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -1.94%E -0.767%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-13 20:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -0.391%E -0.152%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -0.391%E -0.152%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 16:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.76%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 00:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -2.72%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 18:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.20%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.20%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.92%E -3.79%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.08%E -3.27%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.49%E -1.40%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.27%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.27%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.27%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.08%E -3.27%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.86%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.69%E -3.69%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.17%E -0.457%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.69%E -3.69%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.88%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.69%E -3.69%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 20:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 18:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.76%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.14%E -5.42%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.17%E -0.457%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 61.68% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 38.32% | -1.1% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 1.8% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |