Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 1–2 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 55.57%1.80fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.55%55.70%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.711.7859.88%58.43%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 44.43%2.25fair odd
EV +0.850%
Edge +0.374%
Kelly +0.669%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.45%44.30%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.2748.78%46.11%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.57%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 44.43%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.850%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV +0.850%E +0.374%K +0.669%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.927%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.37%E -0.618%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-20 01:29
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.37%E -0.618%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 01:19
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 01:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 00:48
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:20
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.08%E -0.607%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.15%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 01:39
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.08%E -0.607%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.15%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.15%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.15%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.59%E -1.66%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.08%E -0.607%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.08%E -0.607%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 01:39
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.08%E -0.607%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 01:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.75%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 01:38
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:19
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:35
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:38
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 01:38
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 01:29
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.37%E -2.52%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.81%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.81%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.81%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.53%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.64%E -3.95%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 01:29
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 01:38
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.75%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 01:28
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 01:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-05-20 01:39
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-05-20 01:39
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-20 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-20 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-20 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-20 01:39
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-05-20 01:39
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%3.0%2026-05-20 01:39