Language:English
Seattle Mariners v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 59.03%1.69fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%59.12%59.06%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.621.621.6766.67%61.89%61.92%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 40.97%2.44fair odd
EV +4.46%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +2.88%
Growth +0.128%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.88%40.94%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.322.5545.45%43.01%43.10%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 59.03%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 40.97%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -11.45%E -7.63%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +4.46%E +1.75%K +2.88%G +0.128% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 05:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +2.41%E +0.965%K +1.61%G +0.039% | 3.7% | 2026-05-18 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.68%E -0.701%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-18 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.68%E -0.701%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.09%E -0.876%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 00:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.09%E -0.876%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-18 19:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-19 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-19 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 01:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.14%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 23:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.96%E -2.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.96%E -2.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.18%E -1.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 01:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -7.01%E -3.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.01%E -3.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.01%E -3.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.07%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.65%E -3.88%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.07%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.65%E -3.88%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.18%E -1.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-19 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-19 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-19 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 01:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |