默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 02:11 UTC

最终结果: Seattle Mariners 6–5 Chicago Cubs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 50.36%1.99公平赔率
EV -0.293%
优势 -0.148%
Kelly -0.299%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.94%50.32%50.39%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.891.881.9854.95%52.79%53.19%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 49.64%2.01公平赔率
EV -0.715%
优势 -0.357%
Kelly -0.715%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.64%49.68%49.61%51.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.921.922.0054.05%52.05%52.08%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Seattle Mariners (主队):50.36%;Chicago Cubs (客队):49.64%。 对于“Seattle Mariners (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.99。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.98,期望值为-0.293%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.293%E -0.148%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.293%E -0.148%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 02:09
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.293%E -0.148%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.796%E -0.404%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.30%E -0.663%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.925%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.925%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 21:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.925%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 02:10
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.80%E -0.925%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -0.715%E -0.357%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-21 14:15
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.21%E -0.609%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-22 01:29
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.21%E -0.609%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-22 01:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 07:14
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.31%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.31%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:15
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:45
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 10:50
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:55
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 20:15
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 02:07
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 10:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 01:59
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:14
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 23:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:20
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 10:49
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 02:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 01:57
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 02:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.715%E -0.357%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 01:59
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 23:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%0.0%2026-08-22 02:09
ProphetX◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-22 02:10
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 01:55
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 01:55
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-21 14:55
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.5%2026-08-22 02:10
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-08-22 01:20