Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-08-22 02:11 UTC

Finale: Seattle Mariners 6–5 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Seattle Mariners (Casa)

Previsione 50.36%1.99quota equa
EV -0.293%
Vantaggio -0.148%
Kelly -0.299%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.94%50.32%50.39%52.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.891.881.9854.95%52.79%53.19%50.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.64%2.01quota equa
EV -0.715%
Vantaggio -0.357%
Kelly -0.715%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.64%49.68%49.61%51.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.921.922.0054.05%52.05%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Seattle Mariners (Casa): 50.36%; Chicago Cubs (Trasferta): 49.64%. Per Seattle Mariners (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.99. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.98, con un valore atteso del -0.293%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.293%E -0.148%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.293%E -0.148%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 02:09
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.293%E -0.148%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.796%E -0.404%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.30%E -0.663%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.925%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.925%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 21:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.925%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 02:10
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.80%E -0.925%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -0.715%E -0.357%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-21 14:15
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.21%E -0.609%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-22 01:29
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.21%E -0.609%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-22 01:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 07:14
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.31%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.31%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:15
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:45
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 10:50
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:55
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 20:15
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 02:07
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 10:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 01:59
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:14
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 23:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:20
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 10:49
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 02:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 01:57
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 02:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.715%E -0.357%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 01:59
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 23:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%0.0%2026-08-22 02:09
ProphetX◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-22 02:10
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 01:55
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 01:55
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-21 14:55
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.5%2026-08-22 02:10
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-08-22 01:20